Wednesday, July 24, 2013

EXPERT - CUBA COULD HIT U.S. WITH EMP DEATH BLOW

EXPERT: CUBA COULD HIT U.S. WITH EMP DEATH BLOW
Panama Canal discovery suggests 'defensive' missile capable of carrying nuke
F. MICHAEL MALOOF

WASHINGTON – Cuba may be in violation of the intent of an agreement that
settled the Cuban missile crisis more than 50 years ago, according to an
expert. But he made clear that's the least of concerns raised by new
evidence.

The major concern is that the rogue island nation may have "defensive"
missiles that can be loaded with nukes and dispatched to deliver an
electromagnetic pulse death blow to the United States.

The comments come from an expert on EMP dangers after the recent
discovery of components of Cuban SA-2 surface-to-air missiles on a North
Korean ship in the Panama Canal. Peter Vincent Pry, executive director
of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security, said Cuba
possessing the missiles may violate the intent of the 1962 agreement,
and pose a huge danger to the U.S., especially in light of a Cuban
relationship with North Korea, which has tested nuclear bombs.

The SA-2 SAMs alone do not violate the resolution of the Cuban missile
crisis, which developed under President John Kennedy, since they are
regarded as defensive anti-aircraft missile.

"However, if armed with a nuclear warhead and launched from a freighter,
it is technically possible to use the SA-2 offensively for an
(electromagnetic pulse) attack," said Pry.

"I doubt this innovative possible use of the SA-2 ever occurred to the
intelligence community of JFK's time or of our own time, which is
another reason it could work well, achieve concealment and surprise,"
Pry told WND.

Pry, a former analyst for the Central Intelligence Agency, was staff
director of the congressionally mandated EMP commission. The panel
issued a final 2008 report on the catastrophic impact an EMP attack
would have on the nation's critical infrastructure, including the
national grid system, telecommunications, food and water delivery, and
banking and financial systems.

"Suppose the inspectors found on the Chong Chon Gang an SA-2 on its
launcher, armed with a nuclear warhead, positioned under the cargo
hatch, ready to launch an EMP attack," Pry asked.

"Do you suppose that they would guess its purpose? Because the SA-2 is a
'defensive missile,' I'll bet they would conclude that Cuba or North
Korea is beefing up its anti-air defenses with nuclear firepower," he
said. "The nuclear warhead would be illegal for Cuba but regarded as
significantly less threatening, not offensive, because it is on an SA-2."

As WND recently discovered, the Soviet-era SA-2s are nuclear capable and
if armed with a nuclear bomb and exploded at a high altitude above the
United States, the EMP emanating from the blast could knock out
significant portions of the U.S. electrical grid system.

At the time of the October 1962 Cuban missile crisis, the focus then was
only on the surface-to-surface missiles, or SSMs, that the Soviets had
brought to the island.

They were seen as the only means by which nuclear warheads, which the
Soviets also placed in Cuba, could strike the U.S., only 90 miles away.

The only concern about the SA-2s was that they could be used to shoot
down U.S. reconnaissance and other jet fighter aircraft that might be
used to knock out the surface-to-surface missiles.

Indeed, an SA-2 had downed a U-2 undertaking a reconnaissance mission
over Cuba at the height of the 1962 Cuban missile crisis.

Pry said that the ceiling of the SA-2 is up to about 35 kilometers, or
22 miles, which goes beyond the minimum optimal height for an EMP burst.

Pry said the SA-2 could achieve that ceiling with an "HE (high
explosive) warhead weighing, depending on warhead type, 200-295
kilograms, or 440-650 pounds."

"The U.S. Cold War-era W-84 neutron warhead weighed less than 50
kilograms and could be used as an enhanced EMP weapon," Pry said. "So,
armed with a much lighter warhead for EMP attack, any of the SAM
(surface-to-air missiles) variants would have a much higher operational
ceiling. Indeed, the Soviets designed the SA-2 to carry a 15-kiloton
nuclear warhead , weighing 650 pounds, to high altitude."

Sources say that if one SA-2 were to be launched from a freighter off
the U.S. East Coast and exploded high over the highly populated region
stretching from New York City to Washington, D.C., the resulting EMP
could knock out the Eastern grid that services some 70 percent of the
U.S. population, affecting approximately 220 million people for months
or possibly years.

EMP experts believe the impact on the critical infrastructures, which
rely on functioning of the grid, would greatly affect these 220 million
people. The results would include starvation and death.

The Soviet Union under the leadership of Nikita Khrushchev reached an
agreement that all offensive weapons, which then included
SS-(surface-to-surface)-3 and SS-4 medium-range missiles and nuclear
warheads, would be removed from Cuba.

In exchange, the U.S. would not invade Cuba.

The SS-4 missiles from the island nation had within its range
Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Oklahoma City, Fort Worth-Dallas,
Houston, San Antonio, Mexico City, all of the capitals of Central
American, the Panama Canal and the oil fields in Venezuela.

"The presence of operational SS-4 missiles in this location would give
the Soviets a great military asset," according to an Oct. 1, 1962,
briefing paper given to then-Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara and
the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

Based on a map in the briefing materials, the SA-2 SAM sites ringed the
entire island of Cuba. The map revealed 24 SA-2 SAM sites, with some
four to five missiles at each site, along with five SSM missile
locations on the island.

There is no indication that any of these SA-2s ever were removed from
Cuba, giving the Cuban regime possibly up to 100 potentially offensive
weapons in the form of a refurbished nuclear-capable SA-2 missile system.

In addition, verification of the removal of the original SSMs and
nuclear weapons also has come under recent questioning by some sources.

The U.S. had demanded "on-site" inspections of the missile installations
in Cuba. In response, the Cubans said that they would agree to allow
international inspection if the U.S. allowed the same for all bases
where Cuban exiles were being trained by the U.S. The U.S. then dropped
the demand.

Instead of "on-site" inspections to confirm removal of the missile
launchers, the missiles or the nuclear weapons, the U.S. instead
resorted to aerial photography.

In addition, Soviet ships never were boarded to make any physical
inspections. Again, the U.S. relied on aerial photography of the Soviet
ships, with ship crew members pulling back canvas covers from the
missile transporters.

Because nuclear weapons were considered less important than the
launchers and missiles to deliver them, there doesn't appear to have
been any confirmation that the nuclear weapons were removed.

With Cuba's new-found military alliance with North Korea, Pyongyang,
which already has threatened a pre-emptive strike on the U.S., will have
an offensive power projection capability within 90 miles of U.S. shores
that U.S. intelligence officials and policy makers didn't contemplate.

WND previously reported Richard Fisher, a military affairs specialist,
described the missile components as part of a cooperative Cuban-North
Korean military effort to upgrade the SA-2s they each possess.

It was an SA-2 that downed an American U-2 on May 1, 1960, while
undertaking a high-altitude reconnaissance over the Soviet Union. The
U-2 was flown by Francis Gary Powers, who was captured and put in prison
for two years. Another SA-2 shot down Major Rudolph Anderson's U-2 over
Cuba two years later, during the Cuban missile crisis.

Powers, who was employed by the CIA at the time, was aware that Soviet
aircraft were not capable of reaching the altitude at which the U-2
could fly. The CIA, however, was unaware that the Soviets had developed
the SA-2 or its high-altitude capabilities.

Since then, the SA-2 has been modified to make it more capable.

James Hardy, Asia-Pacific editor of IHS Jane's Defense Weekly, said the
SA-2 and its radar are "still in use in a lot of countries, and
progressive upgrades to the radars and the missiles means it is not
completely useless."

Pry joined former CIA Director R. James Woolsey in a May 31 article for
the Wall Street Journal outlining how North Korea could cripple the U.S.
with an EMP attack.

They wrote that North Korea needs only a single nuclear warhead "to pose
an existential threat to the U.S."

"Detonating a nuclear weapon high above any part of the U.S. mainland
would generate a catastrophic electromagnetic pulse," they said.

Source: "Expert: Cuba could hit U.S. with EMP death blow" -
http://www.wnd.com/2013/07/expert-cuba-could-deliver-emp-to-u-s/

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