Thursday, October 22, 2015

The Worst of Times for Cuba and Her Exiles

The Worst of Times for Cuba and Her Exiles
[21-10-2015 21:25:33]
José Azel
Investigador, Universidad de Miami

(www.miscelaneasdecuba.net).- In A Tale of Two Cities, Charles Dickens
deploys one of the most exquisite opening sentences in English literature:
"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of
wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it
was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the
season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of
despair…"

With this beautiful anaphoric construction, Dickens highlights the
anxiety surrounding the French revolution, and between the two cities of
London and Paris. The passage came to mind as I reflected on the
tensions in our conflicted and divided Cuban-American community,
following President Obama's announcement of a rapprochement with the
Cuban regime.

The US policy towards Cuba of economic sanctions was enacted in 1961
when President John F. Kennedy issued an executive order in response to
the Cuban government's expropriation without compensation of US assets.
In those early days, the policy sought to change the course or nature of
the Cuban Revolution.

After the death of President Kennedy, the policy mutated more to one of
"containment" under President Lyndon Johnson. Nearly six decades later,
the issue remains unresolved, and the topic still dominates the rhetoric
surrounding US-Cuba relations.

The US policy of economic engagement with China began in 1972 when
President Richard Nixon visited the People's Republic of China and met
with Chairman Mao Zedong. The primary strategic rationale for the visit
was to orchestrate a shift in the Cold War balance and gain more
leverage over relations with the Soviet Union. Playing to Moscow's
paranoia, President Nixon sought help in ending the Vietnam War, and a
peaceful resolution to the conflict over Taiwan.


Both policy approaches have failed miserably in changing the
totalitarian nature of the regimes in China and Cuba and cannot be
defended on those grounds. But the sanctions policy has succeeded in its
"containment" objective by reducing the economic resources available to
the Cuban regime for international mischief, particularly when Cuba lost
Soviet subsidies following the breakup of the Soviet Union.

Arguably, and notwithstanding the economic benefits that flow from
free-market reforms, the policy of economic engagement has also failed
to deliver on its strategic objectives.

Let's take inventory: the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 was
primarily due to a failed war in Afghanistan; to successive leadership
changes lacking legitimacy; and to internal economic pressures resulting
from its massively unproductive system of central economic planning.

The North Vietnamese communist regime, aided by China, captured South
Vietnam shortly after the withdrawal of US forces. Taiwan is still
militarily menaced by the People's Republic, and China remains a
freedomless society.

When dealing with totalitarian regimes, neither economic engagement nor
economic sanctions have delivered a change in the oppressive nature of
the regimes. Neither carrots nor sticks seem to work, so what is a US
policy maker to do?

Begin by ceasing to foolishly repeat, in propagandist Goebbels-like
fashion, that the Cuba embargo has not worked, and must be changed for a
policy of economic engagement. This is a deceiving argument that insults
the intelligence.

First, the policy has certainly worked in its "containment" objective.
Second, if "failure to change the nature of the regime" is offered as
the criterion for replacing the policy, then one must also seek a change
in the engagement policy with China, which has also failed to change the
oppressive nature of that regime.

Sensibly, no one is making that case. A failed policy cannot correct
another.

Accept with wisdom that neither policy will influence totalitarian
dictatorships in their governance, and avoid raising false hopes in the
Cuban people and despair in the freedom-loving exile community. Believe
uncompromisingly in liberty, and be incredulous of promises by the
Castro regime.

Reject that "repression is the only lasting philosophy," as decreed by
the despised Marquis St. Evrémonde in Dickens's Tale. And recall that,
later that night, he was stabbed to death in his sleep.

It is now the worst of times. Only when freedom finally rings in Cuba,
will it be the best of times.

Source: The Worst of Times for Cuba and Her Exiles - Misceláneas de Cuba
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http://www.miscelaneasdecuba.net/web/Article/Index/5627e6ad3a682e06c4ca48e4#.VijVx_krLjY

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